Did Warren Buffett Move the Goalposts in the Latest Letter?
It appears even the Oracle of Omaha may be vulnerable to short term performance pressures. The Berkshire report came out today, and it has magically changed formats to deemphasize the fact the book value per share has lagged the S&P 500 for 5 out of the last 6 years.
A pretty terrible streak of book value performance (explained in the opening discussion).
Examining reporting in the Old and New Formats
First, a look at Berkshire performance in the “old reporting format,” which is NOT included in this year’s report.
|Old Reporting Format|
|1) Berkshire BV||2) S&P TR||1-2 Difference|
Next, a look at the performance as reported in the “new” format.
|New Reporting Format|
|1) Berkshire BV||2) Berkshire MV||2) S&P TR|
Notice how the difference in reporting changes the flavor of the results?
A few key differences in reporting that shift focus from relative performance:
- No relative results–which would be horrific the past few years!
- Berkshire Market Value included–which looks a lot better than book value performance!
The logic for the change as stated by the Oracle:
During our tenure, we have consistently compared the yearly performance of the S&P 500 to the change in Berkshire’s per-share book value. We’ve done that because book value has been a crude, but useful, tracking device for the number that really counts: intrinsic business value.
He goes on to justify the “change in reporting”:
Today, our emphasis has shifted in a major way to owning and operating large businesses. Many of these are worth far more than their cost-based carrying value. But that amount is never revalued upward no matter how much the value of these companies has increased. Consequently, the gap between Berkshire’s intrinsic value and its book value has materially widened.
There is certainly some validity to the change in reporting metrics.
However, we must ask the question:
The old reporting format was good to go from 1965 to 2013…
Why change now?
Did it have anything to do with the worst book-value performance run in history for Berkshire Hathaway?
Not saying, I’m just saying…
Reporting Differences Illuminated
In the old days there were 3 columns:
- Book value per share
- S&P 500 Total Return
- Difference between 1 and 2
In the newest report there are 3 columns:
- Book value per share (Berkshire)
- Market value per share (Berkshire)
- S&P 500 Total Return
Join thousands of other readers and subscribe to our blog.***
Please remember that past performance is not an indicator of future results. Please read our full disclaimer. The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Alpha Architect, its affiliates or its employees. This material has been provided to you solely for information and educational purposes and does not constitute an offer or solicitation of an offer or any advice or recommendation to purchase any securities or other financial instruments and may not be construed as such. The factual information set forth herein has been obtained or derived from sources believed by the author and Alpha Architect to be reliable but it is not necessarily all-inclusive and is not guaranteed as to its accuracy and is not to be regarded as a representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the information’s accuracy or completeness, nor should the attached information serve as the basis of any investment decision. No part of this material may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission from Alpha Architect.